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Information War: The Production and Propagation of Conspiracy Theories (CI2017, Part 2)

Computational Institutions 2017 · 2017
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In brief

Kate Starbird analyzes how conspiracy theories spread across alternative-media ecosystems by exploiting distrust of mainstream media and co-opting critical-thinking rhetoric. She shows how the same false narratives are amplified across multiple sites (creating false triangulation), unified by anti-globalism, and mixed with conflicting theories that compromise individual epistemology. The purpose of this coordinated "information war" is not to convince but to confuse, making audiences distrust evidence itself—with involvement from state actors (Russia, Iran) alongside grassroots propagators.

Key claims

Conspiracy theories cluster on single sites and spread identically across multiple sites. A person visiting one conspiracy-oriented website encounters many unrelated conspiracy theories (GMOs, chemtrails, flat earth, 9/11 trutherism, vaccines). The same theories appear across different alternative-media sites. People believe they are seeing diverse viewpoints from independent sources when they are actually seeing identical content reproduced verbatim.

False triangulation creates a false sense of independent corroboration. Alternative-media sites copy articles wholesale from other alternative sites without attribution, then republish them as original content. A researcher seeking facts on GMOs, for example, might find the "same" story on three seemingly independent websites (Activist Post, Before It's News, etc.), creating the illusion of multiple independent sources confirming the claim. In reality, a single article has been copy-pasted across an alternative-news ecosystem.

Anti-globalism serves as an ideological convergence point across left and right. Despite left-right polarization appearing irrelevant in conspiracy spaces, Starbird found that anti-globalism unified diverse political audiences. For right-leaning audiences, anti-globalism meant anti-immigration and nationalism. For left-leaning audiences, it meant opposition to exploitative market policies and multinational corporate power. This ideological flexibility allowed conspiracy ecosystems to recruit across the political spectrum.

Alternative media co-opt critical thinking rhetoric while spreading conspiracies. Conspiracy-oriented sites present themselves as counters to "corporate media" and position their audiences as "the freshman class of free and critical thinkers" in a "new Information Age." This messaging resonates with genuine concerns about media consolidation and appeals to people who value democratic ideals of decentralized information. But these sites propagate conspiracy theories while using critical-thinking framing as a Trojan horse.

Disinformation's purpose is to confuse, not to convince. Drawing on research on Russian disinformation strategies, Starbird identifies that disinformation tactics aim to create "muddled thinking" across society—not to sell a single ideology. By juxtaposing contradictory theories (some appealing to the far right, others to the far left, others conflicting with both), disinformation undermines people's ability to form coherent beliefs. The goal is to make audiences distrust media and evidence, eventually giving up on sense-making entirely.

Conspiracy theory exposure creates a "crippled epistemology." People who encounter one conspiracy theory become more likely to believe in others. Over time, they develop a degraded approach to evaluating evidence, moving away from mainstream epistemological standards and toward an alternate fact-checking ecosystem (alternative sites, rumors, personal theories). This is not a simple matter of individual belief but an ecosystem-level capture of how a person processes information.

State actors and grassroots propagators coexist in the ecosystem. Starbird found evidence that some alternative-media sites have connections to Russian state actors and Iranian media (RT, Sputnik, Press TV). However, there is also emergent behavior from grassroots conspiracy theorists (e.g., someone independently claiming a terrorist attack was a "false flag" immediately after it happens). The distinction between what is state-directed and what arises organically is unclear and remains an important research question.

Different types of actors have different motivations. Starbird identifies distinct categories: true believers (people who genuinely believe conspiracy theories and share them), financially motivated actors (promoting conspiracy content for ad revenue or supplement sales), politically motivated actors (pushing a specific agenda), and entertainment seekers (spreading chaos for amusement). Understanding which parts of the ecosystem are which is crucial for identifying intervention points.

Mechanisms discussed

How alternative-media sites function as gatekeepers:

  • Sites attract people interested in one topic (GMO safety, government distrust, alternative health)
  • Through linking, cross-posting, and algorithmic recommendation, they expose audiences to other conspiracy theories
  • Audiences gradually adopt multiple conspiracy beliefs through exposure rather than explicit recruitment
  • Financial incentives (ad revenue, supplement sales) reward sites that keep audiences engaged across the conspiracy spectrum

False triangulation in action:

  • Activist Post publishes an article (often by copying from elsewhere)
  • Before It's News republishes the entire article under its own byline
  • Alternative news sites republish it further
  • A person researching a topic sees the same claim on three sites and treats it as corroboration
  • In reality, a single source has been amplified through a copy-paste supply chain

Rhetorical strategies for recruiting to conspiracy:

  • Questioning language: "Isn't it suspicious that...?" or "Have you noticed...?"
  • Appeals to critical thinking and independent thought
  • Framing mainstream sources as censored, controlled, or corrupt
  • Juxtaposing unrelated events to suggest hidden patterns (Boston Marathon and Sandy Hook involve "the same crisis actors")
  • Presenting "alternative" explanations as equally valid hypotheses

Notes

This talk represents Starbird's mature analysis of conspiracy-theory ecosystems, moving beyond specific crises (her Boston Marathon work) toward understanding the structural architecture of alternative-media networks. The key contribution is showing that conspiracy spread is not primarily a problem of individual gullibility but of ecosystem design: sites are intentionally structured to expose audiences to multiple conspiracy theories, normalize conspiratorial reasoning, and leverage genuine concerns (media consolidation, government accountability) as recruitment vectors.

The distinction between "disinformation" (designed to confuse) and "misinformation" (false information, intentional or not) is crucial for understanding her argument. This reframes policy interventions: you cannot counter disinformation with fact-checks alone if the goal is not to convince but to undermine trust in evidence. Solutions require addressing ecosystem architecture (platform design), financial incentives (ad models, supplement sales), and information literacy that inoculates against conspiratorial reasoning patterns.

The observation that state actors exist alongside grassroots conspiracy theorists—rather than creating or orchestrating all of it—prefigures later understanding of information warfare. Russian and Iranian involvement appears as opportunistic insertion into existing U.S. conspiracy spaces, not as origin points. This suggests that conspiracy ecosystems have internal momentum and will persist even without state backing, though state actors can amplify and direct them strategically.

The "gateway theory" of conspiracy (entering through GMOs, graduating to 9/11 trutherism, flat earth) challenges psychological theories attributing conspiracy belief to personality traits. Starbird's evidence suggests the ecosystem itself drives progression: people follow links, encounter new content, and gradually adopt beliefs not because they share a conspiratorial personality but because they follow the path of least resistance through an alternative-media ecosystem optimized to engage them.

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Summarized from the full text. Added 2026-11-10 from a submission by reza. Every statement on this page traces back to the source.